Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.027414 0.031932 0.036908 0.042791 0.049546 0.057054 0.066023
2025-10-05 0.021522 0.027630 0.034980 0.044446 0.056283 0.070561 0.089054
2025-10-12 0.017354 0.024249 0.033205 0.045622 0.062312 0.083878 0.113754
2025-10-19 0.013536 0.020420 0.029997 0.044176 0.064489 0.092366 0.133310
2025-10-26 0.011030 0.017826 0.027879 0.043657 0.067565 0.102151 0.155594
2025-11-02 0.008940 0.015400 0.025517 0.042263 0.068970 0.109487 0.175021
2025-11-09 0.007399 0.013524 0.023630 0.041200 0.070558 0.117058 0.195427
2025-11-16 0.006361 0.012279 0.022524 0.041150 0.073618 0.127084 0.220585
2025-11-23 0.005357 0.010901 0.020955 0.040035 0.074660 0.133822 0.240956
2025-11-30 0.004929 0.010513 0.021060 0.041847 0.080925 0.149878 0.278578
2025-12-07 0.004345 0.009712 0.020272 0.041875 0.083926 0.160502 0.307731
2025-12-14 0.003704 0.008677 0.018868 0.040509 0.084108 0.166013 0.328136
2025-12-21 0.003229 0.007926 0.017944 0.040007 0.085975 0.174983 0.356204
2025-12-28 0.003059 0.007823 0.018354 0.042301 0.093690 0.195857 0.409041
2026-01-04 0.002839 0.007566 0.018391 0.043804 0.099953 0.214526 0.459431
2026-01-11 0.002454 0.006839 0.017266 0.042596 0.100323 0.221414 0.486933
2026-01-18 0.002175 0.006321 0.016543 0.042184 0.102353 0.231870 0.522712
2026-01-25 0.001882 0.005712 0.015503 0.040878 0.102198 0.237665 0.549211
2026-02-01 0.001645 0.005207 0.014640 0.039869 0.102584 0.244627 0.578825
2026-02-08 0.001484 0.004885 0.014195 0.039831 0.105248 0.256848 0.621088
2026-02-15 0.001299 0.004454 0.013391 0.038755 0.105244 0.263002 0.650265
2026-02-22 0.001244 0.004413 0.013648 0.040515 0.112524 0.286710 0.721868
2026-03-01 0.001132 0.004166 0.013284 0.040544 0.115378 0.300218 0.770823